Andrew Russell – CFI Education – Loan Default Prediction with Machine Learning

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Andrew Russell – CFI Education – Loan Default Prediction with Machine Learning

Loan Default Prediction with Machine Learning
Combine a data set with basic Machine Learning skills to predict which customers are likely to default on their loans.

Overview
Loan Default Prediction with Machine Learning Course Overview
Machine Learning is about making predictions using data. In this course, you’ll learn to use basic Machine Learning skills to predict which customers are likely to default on their loans.

Once your model classifies each loan, you’ll learn to visualize your predictions to see how well the model performed.

Predicting defaults and creditworthiness is hugely valuable to risk management and pricing decisions.

We will cover the entire Machine Learning process in Python, reinforcing concepts from Python fundamentals. You’ll learn how to create predictive classification models, fine-tune and test your process, and how to interpret the results.

Machine Learning is a hot topic in the world of data, particularly data science. At a basic level, Machine Learning is not as complex as it may sound. If you’ve ever done linear regression, you may be surprised to learn that you’ve already taken steps toward this exciting world.

Join Andrew for a comprehensive step-by-step walkthrough of the Machine Learning process.

Loan Default Prediction with Machine Learning Objectives
Upon completing this course, you will be able to:

  • Explain and discuss the main steps of the Machine Learning cycle
  • Load and clean data into a python notebook
  • Use Exploratory Data Analysis to identify variables with likely predictive power
  • Use Feature Engineering to transform data into a more useful format
  • Build a logistic regression and random forest prediction model
  • Evaluate and compare model performance using common evaluation metrics

Who should take this course?
The Machine Learning cycle is one of the most foundational aspects of Data Science. Using this process, we can learn to make predictions using all types of data and variables. Anyone looking to make predictions in a practical Python environment should absolutely be doing this course.

What you’ll learn

  • Introduction
    Course Introduction
    What is Machine Learning?
    Case Study Overview
    Course Materials
    Student Downloads
    Course Outline
  • Load & Clean Data
    Chapter Introduction – Load and Clean Data
    Vehicle Loans Data Set
    Import Libraries and Data Set
    Exploring Basic Data Parameters
    Exploring Our Target Variable
    Identifying Missing Data
    Dealing with Missing Data
    Dates – Exploring Date Columns
    Dates – Calculating Age
    Dates – Extracting Month Number
    Strings – Exploring String Columns
    Strings – Extract Numbers from Strings
    Strings – Strings Function Exercise
    Strings – Strings Function Exercise review
    Chapter Summary
  • Exploratory Data Analysis
    Chapter Intro – Exploratory Data Analysis
    Categorical, Continuous and Binary Variables
    Identifying Features (Columns) of Interest
    Dealing with Category or ID Columns
    Grouping Data by Categories
    Looking at Default Frequency Within Groups
    Exercise – EDA Function for Categorical Variables
    Exercise – Review
    Plotting Continuous Variables
    Plotting Continuous Variables by Group
    Exercise – EDA Function for Continuous Variables
    Exercise – Review
    Exploring Binary Variables
    Chapter Summary
  • Feature Engineering
    Chapter Introduction – Feature Engineering
    Exploring Outliers
    Creating Bins
    Combining Features into New Columns
    Exercise – Creating New Columns
    Exercise – Review and Calculate Percentages
    Dealing with Null Values
    Min and Max Scaling
    Chapter Summary
  • Classification with Logistic Regression
    Chapter Introduction – Classification with Logistic Regression
    Linear vs. Logistic Regression
    Train and Test Split
    Import Data and Modify Column Types
    Exercise – Select Chosen Variables
    Exercise – Review
    Exercise – Separate the Target Variable
    Exercise – Review
    Splitting the Data into Train and Test
    Dummy Variables
    Variable Encoding (One-Hot-Encoding)
    Exercise – Train, Test and Split One-Hot-Encoded Data
    Exercise Review and Testing Our Logistic Regression
    Chapter Summary
  • Model Evaluation
    Chapter Introduction – Model Evaluation
    Student Exercise
    Review Logistic Regression Model
    Evaluation Metrics Theory
    Evaluation – Creating a Confusion Matrix
    Evaluation – Precision, Recall and F1 Scores
    The ROC Curve
    ROC Curve – Extracting Predicted Probabilities
    ROC Curve – Plotting the Curve
    Advanced Evaluation – Prediction Percentages
    Advanced Evaluation – Class Probability Distributions
    Advanced Evaluation – Plotting Class Probabilities
    Advanced Evaluation – Creating an Evaluation Function
    Chapter Summary
  • Classification with Random Forest
    Chapter Introduction – Classification with Random Forest
    Decision Tree Theory
    Random Forest Theory
    Creating a Function for Train and Test Split
    Review the Train Test Split Function
    Exercise – Create a Simple Random Forest
    Reviewing the Random Forest
    Identifying Overfitting in Our Results
    Hyperparameters
    Testing the Impact of Number of Trees
    Testing the Impact of Maximum Depth
    Chapter Summary
  • Improving Accuracy
    Chapter Introduction – Improving Accuracy
    Recap and Theory
    Exercise
    Balancing Classes Automatically
    Manual Class Balancing
    Resampling – Upsampling
    Training a New Model Based on Resampled Data
    Evaluating the Downsampled Model
    SMOTE
    Chapter Summary
  • Qualified Assessment
    Qualified Assessment

This Course is Part of the Following Programs
Why stop here? Expand your skills and show your expertise with the professional.

Business Intelligence & Data Analyst (BIDA)®
Loan Default Prediction with Machine Learning is part of the Business Intelligence & Data Analyst (BIDA)®, which includes 33 courses.

  • Skills Learned
    Data visualization, data warehousing and transformation, data modeling and analysis
  • Career Pre
    pBusiness intelligence analyst, data scientist, data visualization specialist
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